FA Cup third-round predictions - Lawro v comedian Guz Khan
Last updated on .From the section FA Cup
The FA Cup third round is famous for shocks and surprises - and, these days, also a job-lot of team changes of course - but what does the famous old competition have in store for us this year?
BBC Sport's football expert Mark Lawrenson and his guest have taken a look at all 32 of this weekend's ties and given their verdict on who will make it into round four.
This week Lawro is up against comedian Guz Khan, star of BBC Three comedy Man Like Mobeen.
Guz is from Coventry but supports Manchester United "from the bottom of my heart" - and is keen to explain why.
He told BBC Sport: "It was the 1994-95 season and I was sat in this tiny place up north called Brierfield [in Lancashire] which is where my family are from - and they are all massive United fans.
"I was really young and I didn't even know what football was but I saw the pain and heartbreak in their eyes when Blackburn Rovers won the Premier League that season.
"I thought from that day on I want to be involved in this pain process. Luckily for me, it was all success that I saw immediately after that, but it was borne out of pain."
Guz says his favourite FA Cup moment is the solo goal Ryan Giggs scored in United's win over Arsenal in a semi-final replay on their way to winning the treble in 1999, but he has good memories of watching Coventry too.
He explained: "The iconic moment has to be the full chest hair, the rug from Ryan when he was skipping through the defence and he clapped that left peg - BOOM! - past David Seaman.
"I think what made the FA Cup so special, especially when I was a kid, was the fact that you could have a minnow team - a random team - come along and really put up a fight.
"And being from Coventry, we grew up in the days when the stadium was still at Highfield Road. They used to let us in late at the end of games for the last 10 minutes.
"We got to see the hey-day when they were in the top flight but we were still regarded as a small club.
"In the FA Cup, though, on any given day, the likes of Darren Huckerby or Peter Ndlovu could go on a rampage and put anybody out.
"It is that memory of smaller clubs being able to do big things that I think is the magic of the FA Cup."
Man Like Mobeen starts on BBC One on Sunday 14 January at 23:30 GMT or you can watch the whole series now on BBC Three on BBC iPlayer.
LAWRO'S PREDICTIONS
Premier League v League Two
| Gap | Result | Lawro | Guz | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SATURDAY | ||||
| Coventry v Stoke | 53 | 2-1 | 1-1* | 0-4 |
| Exeter v West Brom | 56 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Newcastle v Luton | 56 | 3-1 | 2-0 | 2-0 |
Gap = how many league positions separate each team
* Away team to win at home in the replay
Premier League v League One
| Gap | Result | Lawro | Guz | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SATURDAY | ||||
| Fleetwood v Leicester | 48 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Bournemouth v Wigan | 30 | 2-2 | 2-1 | 3-0 |
| SUNDAY | ||||
| Shrewsbury v West Ham | 31 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-3 |
| Tottenham v AFC Wimbledon | 60 | 3-0 | 2-0 | 6-0 |
Premier League v Championship
| Gap | Result | Lawro | Guz | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FRIDAY | ||||
| Man Utd v Derby | 20 | 2-0 | 2-0 | 4-1 |
| SATURDAY | ||||
| Bolton v Huddersfield | 29 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-0 |
| Fulham v Southampton | 13 | 0-1 | 2-1 | 0-2 |
| Norwich v Chelsea | 30 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0-5 |
| Watford v Bristol City | 14 | 3-0 | 2-0 | 1-1 |
| Wolves v Swansea | 1 | 0-0 | 2-0 | 2-0 |
| SUNDAY | ||||
| Nottingham Forest v Arsenal | 28 | 4-2 | 0-3 | 1-0 |
Premier League v Premier League
| Gap | Result | Lawro | Guz | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FRIDAY | ||||
| Liverpool v Everton | 5 | 2-1 | 2-0 | 3-1 |
| SATURDAY | ||||
| Man City v Burnley | 6 | 4-1 | 3-0 | 5-0 |
| MONDAY | ||||
| Brighton v Crystal Palace | 2 | x-x | 1-1* | 0-1 |
* Away team to win at home in the replay
Championship v League Two
| Gap | Result | Lawro | Guz | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SATURDAY | ||||
| Brentford v Notts County | 39 | 0-1 | 2-0 | 1-1* |
| Cardiff v Mansfield | 51 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 2-0 |
| Carlisle v Sheff Wed | 45 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| Stevenage v Reading | 45 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0-0* |
| Wycombe v Preston | 43 | 1-5 | 1-1* | 1-1* |
| SUNDAY | ||||
| Newport v Leeds | 53 | 2-1 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
* Away team to win at home in the replay
Championship v League One
| Gap | Result | Lawro | Guz | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SATURDAY | ||||
| Aston Villa v Peterborough | 27 | 1-3 | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| Blackburn v Hull | 6 | 0-1 | 1-1* | 2-2** |
| QPR v MK Dons | 26 | 0-1 | 2-0 | 1-0 |
* Away team to win at home in the replay
** Home team to win away in the replay
Championship v Championship
| Gap | Result | Lawro | Guz | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SATURDAY | ||||
| Birmingham v Burton Albion | 1 | 1-0 | 2-0 | 2-0 |
| Ipswich v Sheff Utd | 5 | 0-1 | 1-1* | 1-1* |
| Middlesbrough v Sunderland | 16 | 2-0 | 2-0 | 1-1** |
| Millwall v Barnsley | 4 | 4-1 | 1-0 | 1-1** |
* Away team to win at home in the replay
** Home team to win away in the replay
League One v League Two
| Gap | Result | Lawro | Guz | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SATURDAY | ||||
| Yeovil v Bradford | 39 | 2-0 | 1-1* | 2-1 |
* Away team to win at home in the replay
League One v League One
| Gap | Result | Lawro | Guz | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SATURDAY | ||||
| Doncaster v Rochdale | 12 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
* Away team to win at home in the replay
How did Lawro do last time?
In the last round of Premier League games, Lawro got six correct results, including one perfect score, from 10 matches, for a total of 90 points.
He beat Jimmy Dixon, bassist in alt-rock band Django Django, who also got six correct results, but with no perfect scores, giving him a total of 60 points.
In the predictor game, Lawro slipped to to 2,822nd place out of more than 345,00 users.
| Total scores after week 22 | |
|---|---|
| Lawro | 1,880 |
| Guests | 1,660 |
| Lawro v Guests | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| P22 | W12 | D2 | L8 |
| SCORE | GUEST LEADERBOARD |
|---|---|
| 160 | Chris Shiflett |
| Justin Hawkins | |
| 130 | James Anderson**, Joe Johnson*** |
| 120 | Will Poulter, Moeen Ali |
| 100 | Cesaro & Seamus, Wretch 32 |
| 85 | Lawro (average after 22 weeks) |
| 80 | John Cena, Darren Campbell |
| 70 | Brendan Foster*, Mark Strong |
| 60 | Jimmy from Django Django, Will Ferrell, Nish Kumar, Non Stanford, Rick Witter |
| 50 | Steve Cram, Michael Dapaah, Channing Tatum, Osi Umenyiora and Jason Bell, Joe Root |
| 40 | Craig David |
| 30 | Felix White |
| 20 | Richard Osman |
*Foster and Cram both provided predictions on week one, but only Foster's score contributes to the guest total.
**Anderson and Moeen both provided predictions on week nine, but only Anderson's score contributes to the guest total.
***Witter and Johnson both provided predictions on week 17, but only Johnson's score contributes to the guest total.
Lawro's best score: 150 points (week eight v Wretch 32)
Lawro's worst score: 40 points (week four v Umenyiora and Bell, week five v Non Stanford and week 21 v Darren Campbell)
| +/- DENOTE POSITION DIFFERENCE BETWEEN LAWRO'S TABLE AND ACTUAL POSITION | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| POS | TEAM | P | W | D | L | PTS | +/- |
| 1 | Man Utd | 22 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 58 | +1 |
| 2 | Man City | 22 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 57 | -1 |
| 3 | Tottenham | 22 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 56 | +2 |
| 4 | Liverpool | 22 | 16 | 6 | 0 | 54 | 0 |
| 5 | Chelsea | 22 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 47 | -2 |
| 6 | Arsenal | 22 | 10 | 9 | 3 | 39 | 0 |
| 7 | Southampton | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 32 | +10 |
| 8 | Bournemouth | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 27 | +7 |
| 9 | West Ham | 22 | 5 | 12 | 5 | 27 | +7 |
| 10 | Leicester | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 26 | -2 |
| 11 | West Brom | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 25 | +8 |
| 12 | Stoke | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 24 | +6 |
| 13 | Crystal Palace | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 22 | +1 |
| 14 | Burnley | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -7 |
| 15 | Everton | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 19 | -6 |
| 16 | Newcastle | 22 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 16 | -3 |
| 17 | Swansea | 22 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 16 | +3 |
| 18 | Brighton | 22 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 14 | -6 |
| 19 | Watford | 22 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 13 | -9 |
| 20 | Huddersfield | 22 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 9 | -9 |
